Prog Holdings Stock Performance

PRG Stock  USD 33.98  0.19  0.56%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, PROG Holdings holds a performance score of 15. The company holds a Beta of 1.26, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, PROG Holdings will likely underperform. Please check PROG Holdings' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether PROG Holdings' historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PROG Holdings are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak basic indicators, PROG Holdings reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.56
Five Day Return
5.66
Year To Date Return
15.7
Ten Year Return
61.35
All Time Return
231.51
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0159
Payout Ratio
0.1844
Last Split Factor
1179:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
0.52
Dividend Date
2025-12-02
1
A Look at PROG Holdings Valuation Following New Dividend Declaration
11/10/2025
 
PROG Holdings dividend paid on 2nd of December 2025
12/02/2025
2
PRG Real Estates Dana Dobrowolski Selected to Attend AICPAs 2025 Leadership Academy
12/04/2025
3
1 Stock Under 50 for Long-Term Investors and 2 Facing Headwinds
12/17/2025
4
Aarons Earns Buy Rating from Analysts at B. Riley
12/19/2025
5
Disposition of 292 shares by King Michael Todd of PROG Holdings at 27.67 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/23/2025
6
PROG Holdings BNPL Is Promising But Comes With Some Big Risks - Seeking Alpha
12/31/2025
7
PRG Gives 2025 Year in Review
01/23/2026
8
PROG Holdings, Inc. to Release Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results on February 18, 2026
01/28/2026
9
Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Banking Corp Sells 35,374 Shares of Aarons Holdings Company, Inc. PRG
01/30/2026
10
Disposition of 1979 shares by Curt Doman of PROG Holdings at 28.15 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
11
Acquisition by Brian Garner of 3500 shares of PROG Holdings at 28.93 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow155.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-79.2 M

PROG Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,721  in PROG Holdings on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  677.00  from holding PROG Holdings or generate 24.88% return on investment over 90 days. PROG Holdings is generating 0.383% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.9252% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than PROG, and above 93% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon PROG Holdings is expected to generate 2.52 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.52 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

PROG Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of PROG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 33.98 90 days 33.98 
roughly 2.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PROG Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.68 (This PROG Holdings probability density function shows the probability of PROG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.26 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, PROG Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally PROG Holdings has an alpha of 0.2157, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PROG Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PROG Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PROG Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.9833.9135.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.5839.3941.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.6432.5634.49
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
37.3141.0045.51
Details

PROG Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PROG Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PROG Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PROG Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PROG Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

PROG Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PROG Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PROG Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PROG Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: A Look At Global Ship Lease Valuation As Value Rating And Low PB Draw Fresh Attention

PROG Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PROG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PROG Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PROG Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments95.7 M

PROG Holdings Fundamentals Growth

PROG Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of PROG Holdings, and PROG Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on PROG Stock performance.

About PROG Holdings Performance

By analyzing PROG Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into PROG Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if PROG Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if PROG Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 132.01  125.41 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.17  0.16 
Return On Capital Employed 0.13  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.13  0.12 
Return On Equity 0.27  0.29 

Things to note about PROG Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about PROG Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for PROG Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PROG Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: A Look At Global Ship Lease Valuation As Value Rating And Low PB Draw Fresh Attention
Evaluating PROG Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate PROG Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing PROG Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether PROG Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining PROG Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating PROG Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of PROG Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of PROG Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into PROG Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating PROG Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact PROG Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for PROG Stock analysis

When running PROG Holdings' price analysis, check to measure PROG Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PROG Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of PROG Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PROG Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PROG Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PROG Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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